I wish I weren’t born in Europe
This is just a bit of venting, but also a measure of the exasperation I experience: life in Europe is more and more of a dystopia. I wish this nightmare ended.
- The Euronews app notified me…
- A random example: the GDPR
- Another random topic: IT at large
- Draghi’s report, in a nutshell
- Speaking of the automotive industry
- The China problem
- Energy, ethics, wars and sanctions
- The “Draghi and the ECB” problem
- Centralism and corruption by design
- Not only antidemocratic and inept, but it doesn’t even work!
- If I were to be born again
The Euronews app notified me…
…that Mario Draghi would present its famous report on the future of European competitiveness, and that I should watch it live. Well, the video had absolutely NO SOUND whatsoever, and it remained like this through the end, when the retards have deleted it, so there is no video on YouTube to document what just happened! They should change the name of the channel to Eurofucks.
If you know where to look, you’ll find the recording on the “EC AV PORTAL”: Mario Draghi delivers his report on the future of European competitiveness to President von der Leyen. The page also contains recorded cutaways, but let’s go for the full recording. I’m also embedding the video here:
The report itself is here: Part A: A competitiveness strategy for Europe (69 pages), and Part B: In-depth analysis and recommendations (328 pages).
Once I watched portions of the video, it became clear to me that all is but a blah-blah. Some more centralized nonsense and inept bureaucracy that isn’t going to lead anywhere. This fabulous document (or two, if we count the two parts distinctly) will need tens of thousands of hours of reading by central and national bureaucrats. By the time they’ll figure out what they should do, we’ll all be dead. (National legislations must be amended, national regulatory bodies should be harmonized, and, ideally, pigs should fly.)
A random example: the GDPR
At about 1h07m in the full video above, as part of the Q&A session, a question about boosting innovation is asked. In his reply, Draghi covers several points. Forget about the very first idea, that the EU lacks focus. The EU lacks too many things, starting with a raison d’être. He starts reading from the document, not always using the exact printed wording and skipping a lot, but the main points include: (1) the complex and costly procedures across fragmented national systems; (2) the EU regulatory costs hamper innovation: the EU has almost 100 tech-focused laws; (3) digital firms are deterred from doing business because they face heterogeneous requirements and “gold-plated” national legislation (i.e., national laws that, while implementing EU legislation, add specific national requirements, hence making compliance costlier); (4) limitations on data storing and processing, with high compliance costs.
He gives the example of the GDPR. He claims the GDPR is estimated to have reduced the profits for small tech companies by more than 15%. “Here there is a general issue,” he adds. To be compliant, you need people. “But these companies are small companies, they have 2 people often, 3 people.” Some of them gave up, left Europe, and moved to the United States! They could not afford to hire people just to comply to the GDPR! This legislation, made for the big 5-6 American IT corporations, kills the EU’s small companies!
He’s more than right here. Let me add tidbits from his document, then my views.
Part B, page 319:
The GDPR, which entered into force in 2016 and is directly applicable in all Member States, aims to offer a harmonised EU approach to privacy enforcement. However, it gives Member States the possibility to define privacy rules in 15 areas, leading to fragmentation and legal uncertainty stemming from the widespread use of specification clauses, ‘gold-plating’ [Box 1] and inconsistent enforcement by national Data Protection Authorities (DPAs), and the fact that some Member States have several DPAs doing so (e.g. 16 in Germany). This could hinder cross-border entrepreneurship and innovation, including the development and deployment of new technologies and cybersecurity solutions. As an example, divergence in the age of consent across Member States creates uncertainty in the application of data protection rights for children in the Single Market [NOTE 24: The age of consent is 13 in Belgium, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Latvia, Malta, Portugal, Sweden; 14 in Austria, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Spain, Italy, Lithuania; 15 in the Czech Republic, Greece, France; 16 in Germany, Hungary, Croatia, Ireland, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia.]. Estimates point to high GDPR compliance costs, up to EUR 500,000 for SMEs and up to EUR 10 million for large organisations [NOTE 25: 68% of the large companies surveyed by PwC planned to spend between GBP 1 million and GBP 10 million to meet the GDPR requirements. The average cost of GDPR compliance for a mid-sized company with 500 employees is found to be around EUR 1.3 million. As reported by the Financial Times, the International Association of Privacy Professionals, and Ernst & Young also estimate that the average cost for large EU-based companies to achieve GDPR compliance could be in the order of EUR 1.3 million per company, with ongoing annual costs of EUR 1.1 million for maintenance.]. Furthermore, due to these compliance costs, EU companies decreased data storage by 26% and data processing by 15% in relation to comparable US companies [NOTE 26: For data-intensive industries, such as software, the cost increase due to GDPR compliance can be as high as 24%. Other sectors, like manufacturing and services, experience an average cost increase of 18%.]. However, in December 2023, Member States in the Justice and Home Affairs Council formation resisted further harmonisation.
Yeah, Germany has 16 Data Protection Authorities, one for each land. Tards. Now, regarding the huge costs incurred by the need to be GDPR-compliant, I could only add that the example of the age of consent is only showing that the national legislations will never be harmonized, even if the EU were a federation, which it isn’t. The US is a federation, and it has 50 sets of criminal laws, plus federal legislation. They need 50 or 51 ways top say the same thing, no matter the retaliatory measures are equivalent or not. So we, too, need 27 ways of declaring that 1+1 makes 2. Or anything between 1.8 and 2.2. Union or federation, sometimes the moral standards, the laws of mathematics, of physics and of chemistry are not the same everywhere. Each country believes that young people should be allowed to start fucking at a different age. They would also establish different jail times for the exact same crime. Even when there is a central regulatory board, such as the European Medicines Agency, this is how it works: if you need to authorize a new drug, you have to authorize it in each and every country, regardless of the EMA approval; only when the EMA bans a drug, the national regulatory agencies would all ban it swiftly. The same goes for cars: no matter a vehicle is homologated in Denmark and Germany, it cannot be sold in Bulgaria or Romania without being certified in those countries too! What’s the purpose of the EU, then?!
Back to the GDPR, there are several reasons why it’s both useless and harmful.
It’s useless because the main purpose of the GDPR cannot be realized. It’s impossible to prove that a company did not sell your personal data! It’s like in the formal logic: it’s impossible to prove that somewhere on Earth there isn’t a green raven, or that somewhere in the Universe there isn’t a floating teapot. If one finds a green raven, then the opposite is proven. But that such a thing doesn’t exist cannot be proven. Similarly, if a data breach happens, and it’s revealed, or if a company willingly passes your personal data to another company and someone discovers this fact, then the GDPR non-compliance is clear. But if the voluntary passing of your data is not discovered by accident or whistleblowing, it’s just there, it happened, despite the GDPR. One might say that, similarly to ISO 9001 not ensuring the quality per se, but establishing consistent processes that however cannot guarantee precise outcomes, the GDPR establishes processes to deal with personal data. Still, the possibility that someone at a GDPR-compliant company sells your data unbeknownst to anyone is not eliminated! Therefore, the costs added by the GDPR compliance are not justified!
As I mentioned in a previous post, in the section 3·The GDPR is a creator of Bullshit Jobs and does more harm than good, which I will now complete ad hoc, the GDPR is also stupid and harmful:
- The GDPR does more harm than good to people trying to read some US websites, which simply refuse access to EU users (this is why a VPN is useful). This is usually a misunderstanding of the GDPR, as those organizations cannot be made liable as long as they don’t have any EU branch, but this is the reality.
- The GDPR doesn’t only harm EU’s small companies, it also killed various EU small projects, such an independent forum related to open-source software, whose owner said it had to close the forum because he cannot afford a GDPR compliance officer.
- GDPR compliance is a very lucrative business: it has created lots of bullshit jobs, to be added to those created by ISO 9001, 14001, 27001, and 50600.
- And no, the fear of the GDPR isn’t exaggerated, especially in Germany and Austria, two countries with mentally retarded judges. Here’s a court case regarding a WordPress blog using Google Fonts. Using a Google font instead of one hosted by the same site that hosts the blog would “reveal your IP to Google,” and your IP is apparently sacred! (More about that: here, here, with courts rulings Az. 3 O 17493/20 and Az. 2 C 381/21, and finally two articles in English, German Court Fines Website Owner for Violating the GDPR by Using Google-Hosted Fonts, and WordPress.org Strongly Urges Theme Authors to Switch to Locally Hosted Webfonts). How about images hosted on CDNs, then? Whoever created the GDPR is a complete moron! How can “revealing your IP” be a violation of privacy? If you don’t want your IP to be known, stop using the Internet! (Yes, I just said that VPNs can be used for various reasons.) Can anyone use a search engine without revealing their IP? And is there really anyone who did not use a search engine?
- Finally, the famous “cookie banner” that even the European Commission’s website is using: some smart ass says that there is no cookie banner law, because “Companies could easily avoid any cookie banner. Just don’t track.” Oh, so the EU is tracking us, you fucking moron? Nope. Any website, any blog, any site in which one can set an account, or just change a setting (say, increase the font size, or change the language, which is what the EU websites allow for!) uses cookies, and even the EU’s web admins, undoubtedly after having consulted the legal department, have decided that the grotesque “cookie banner” is required!
Fuck it. GDPR or no GDPR, I think people believe in the tooth fairy. No matter what anyone says, ALL your personal data WILL BE SOLD to third parties, full stop. Your bank, your ISP, your cell provider, the supermarket where you have a loyalty card—THEY ALL sell your data! I’m also amused by the “right to be forgotten” that supposedly allows you to exercise your right to delete your personal data. What a great idea to do that after it has already been sold to third parties! Are there only morons in Brussels? (In California, too.)
What has finally been acknowledged by Mario Draghi himself: the GDPR hampers the IT companies, and the EU’s citizens are victims of this stupid situation. And this is only one of the many examples of stupid EU legislation!
Another random topic: IT at large
Browsing Draghi’s document, I ran over this chart of EU vs US cloud providers market share:
This is only one of the many ways in which Europe is nowhere regarding information technology, being completely dependent on the US!
As it’s patently obvious from the said document, the European Commission only became worried in the age of the latest bubbles: AI, which is only this stupid generative AI, as opposed to the non-existent artificial general intelligence, or AGI; quantum computing, which is a scam with little to no practical uses; blockchain and other crypto technologies. These technologies sucked hundreds of billions of dollars and huge amounts of energy, and the EU wanted to waste similar amounts of money on nothing?! The EU should have been worried that there is no European company to counter the non-European ones, not even in the consumer-grade technologies!
Before the bubbles, and even before the Cloud, they should have asked themselves:
- Where are the EU providers of operating systems and of major commercial end-user software?
- Where are the EU providers of searching engines that people would really use?
- Where are the EU manufacturers of computers and of other IT hardware?
The answer is: nowhere to be seen.
Roughly 80% of PCs are running Microsoft Windows. (The servers might be running anything, including Linux and FreeBSD, but if the Cloud is American…) Despite the existence of LibreOffice and of other office suites, including the German Softmaker Office, probably 70% of PCs run Microsoft Office. And wherever it’s not Microsoft, it’s Apple, unless you’re thinking of those 4% taken by “Linux on the Desktop.” And how about the mobile OSes? What European OS is running your smartphone?
The small European search engines are niche ones, and they cannot index the Internet properly. Everyone is using Google or Bing (Yahoo! Search is also Bing); if they don’t, they still use Google if they use Startpage; and DuckDuckGo is American. Privacy-wise, who is not having an e-mail account with either of Google, Microsoft, or Yahoo?
Hardware-wise, it’s old news that three quarters of everything one can purchase in either of Europe or America is made in China or in other South-East Asian countries. Even fabless, there isn’t any non-Asian smartphone brand! There’s only South Korea and China, with a moribund Japan in trail (Sony Xperia).
PCs? HP and Dell are American, but their products are largely made in China (you too, Apple). The only other brands are the Taiwanese Acer and ASUS, and the Chinese Lenovo. OK, let’s not list the defunct US PC makers (Gateway 2000 was acquired by Acer and disappeared; Packard Bell went under NEC, then also under Acer). But where are ICL, Bull, Olivetti, Nixdorf and Siemens? Or Sinclair, Amstrad, Acorn Computers for home computers? Wait, Amstrad even made PCs, as this one that I owned:
Semiconductors? Europe was a major player in semiconductor and electronics manufacturing in the 1970s and 1980s. It made chips of its own brands (Philips, Siemens, Thomson, SGS) or US ones (Intel, Zilog). But semiconductors were manufactured everywhere, even in the Soviet Bloc: in the USSR, Romania, Czechoslovakia, the GDR, and more; consumer electronics in many Western countries, then also in the aforementioned countries, plus Poland, Hungary, etc. Computer-related hardware even in Bulgaria! What is Europe manufacturing now, Samsung TVs? CPU-wise, we’re not completely dead. Intel has a manufacturing presence in Ireland, and GlobalFoundries in Dresden (but not for PCs).
Communications: for the 5G/6G infrastructure, we want to ban the Chinese Huawei based on unfounded fears. Apparently, we don’t have any issues with other Chinese IT products (nor with the Huawei/Honor and Xiaomi smartphones). But if for the infrastructure there are European alternatives, Ericsson and Nokia, although I’m pretty sure their products are manufactured in China, for consumer-grade routers and stuff, the only offers are non-European: Chinese (Huawei, ZTE, Tenda), Taiwanese (D-Link), Singaporean (TP-Link). This is ridiculous.
For once, this isn’t the European Commission’s fault. It’s the fault of the corporate greed, with dogmas imported from the US and the UK! Such a dogma says that it’s better to make something in China and carry it 20,000 to 24,000 kilometers from Shanghai or Shenzhen to Rotterdam or Hamburg, even if it’s only marginally cheaper overall! In the process, we’re “green” and “we save the planet” in the West while importing everything from China, from paper clips and toothpicks to high-tech!
Also, in their infinite wisdom, Europe and the US have handed their technologies to the People’s Republic of China (which might also want to swallow ROC Taiwan, including its TSMC).
Either way, Europe won’t return to what it once was. Or will it?
Draghi’s report, in a nutshell
I’m not entirely nuts, so I only cursorily browsed those two PDFs. But Euronews has five key takeaways from the report. In brief:
- “Europe needs to mobilise at least €750bn to €800bn a year to keep pace with competitors such as the US and China. … Delivering this increase would require the EU’s investment share to jump from around 22% of GDP today to around 27%, reversing a multi-decade decline across most large EU economies.” But investment in what? The R&D is pathetic. Page 235: “Public spending on R&D ranges from 0.94% in Germany to a mere 0.15% in Romania.”
- Europe has a “China problem.” Europe “must continue to reduce its economic dependence to increase its internal security, warning that Europe is particularly dependent on a handful of suppliers for critical raw materials and digital technology. In the case of chips, the former ECB president noted that 75-90% of the world’s wafer manufacturing capacity is located in Asia.“
- We need to boost innovation: “The problem is not that Europe lacks ideas or ambition … but that innovation is blocked at the next stage: we are failing to translate innovation into commercialisation.” “In the last five decades, no EU company worth more than €100bn has been created from scratch – and 30% of Europe’s unicorns [a privately held start-up company valued at more than $1bn] have left the bloc since 2008 because they could not scale up on the continent.”
- Industry (hopefully not the “financial industry” of which the City of London is so proud of!) “Industrial strategies today – as seen in the US and China – combine multiple policies, including tax, trade and foreign policy. Owing to its slow and disaggregated policymaking process, the EU is less able to produce such a response.” Automakers as an example: “Opponents often cite the EU’s ambitious regulations that would see conventional petrol and diesel vehicles start to be phased out in just over a decade — but domestic manufacturers factories are also struggling to compete with heavily subsidised Chinese electric cars.”
- Europe’s decision-making needs to be reformed: “Europe does not coordinate where it matters, [and] Europe’s decision-making rules have not substantially evolved as the EU has enlarged and the global environment we face has become more hostile and complex.” Draghi: “As of 2019, the EU has passed around 13,000 pieces of legislation, while the US has passed 3,000 and 2,000 resolutions. … That makes you think, can we do a little less and can we be a little more focused?”
We’re completely fucked-up.
Speaking of the automotive industry
The forced transition from ICU (internal combustion engine) cars to electric cars is not only dictatorial, but it’s misguided, and it cannot compensate for the real reasons of climate change.
Let me quote myself from two comments I made in reply to a reader; they’re attached to completely unrelated posts, so I’ll insert them here (first, second):
I never said that climate change is not real. But the problem is not that the average temperature increased by 1 degree instead of 0.5 degrees Celsius or whatever. The issue is that extreme weather phenomena are becoming more frequent and more extreme. Even if the average temperature were constant, extreme phenomena could destroy our civilization. To oversimplify: if a certain average used to be obtained through summer temperatures of 30 °C and winter temperatures of -10 °C in a certain place, with a hypothetical average of 10 °C, what if the summer temperatures reach 60 °C and the winter temperatures reach -40 °C? The average doesn’t change! And how about tornadoes, which started being more frequent in Europe, a continent that wasn’t used to them?
In my opinion, the real culprit is the fact that we’re 8.2 billion people. The world’s population was 2.5 billion in 1950. That many people are requiring huge quantities of energy. And our increased use of technology only increases the electricity consumption. But no, CO2 is not a pollutant; it’s a natural gas without which life couldn’t exist. We need both O2 and CO2 to live on Earth. Pollutants are SO2, NOx and PM2.5/PM10, which give me lung cancer. Coal burning has decreased, so there are no more lethal fog episodes like those from the Meuse Valley (Belgium) in 1930, Donora (PA) in 1948, and London (UK) in 1952. But we’re 8 billion!
And the real issue is not the CO2, it’s the heat itself. Large urban agglomerations create heat singularities. Not only the concrete and the asphalt accumulate heat, but the entire city creates heat: the people, the cars, the various installations. Not enough trees, either. And instead of people being spread in many small towns scattered around and with green areas in between, we have huge megalopolises. We also have huge industrial areas, especially in China. The more the heat distribution is unequal on Earth, the more the climate suffers. The heat produced by humans, to be clear. The same is valid for the distribution of trees.
We cannot balance that by using electric cars in Europe and in the US! (Not to mention the questionable “greenness” of their batteries, the way the electricity is produced, and so on.)
The average annual home electricity consumption per person in the US is of 12,000 to 13,000 kWh. In Germany, it’s 3,500 to 4,000 kWh per person per year. My wife and I are using about 2,500 kWh per year FOR TWO PEOPLE. And they’re telling me THAT I SHOULD DO SOMETHING TO SAVE THE PLANET?
Yeah, “global warming” is far from accurate. “Climate change” is better, but much better is the French “dérèglement climatique”—literally climate disruption or disturbance. However, with dogmas and Soviet-style legislation, this won’t work. No matter how frequently people are told that “the weather is not the climate” (when episodes of unexpected cold weather occur), they’ll reply, “up your ass!”.
Now to the antidemocratic part of the EU-mandated “greenification.” When they started the transition to energy-efficient lighting in the EU with the Ecodesign Directive 2009/125/EC, which implied the phasing out of incandescent bulbs (100W in Sept. 2009, 75W in Sept. 2010, 60W in Sept. 2011, and finally 40W and 25W in Sept. 2012), everyone was forced to use compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs). Initially, these devices were expensive and slow to reach the nominal brightness (40 to 60 seconds sometimes). The technology gradually improved, with faster CFLs becoming cheaper, and warmer color temperatures becoming easily available. But they could have avoided this Soviet-style ukase by waiting until the technology becomes more affordable, so people would decide for themselves what to use. Today, everyone is using LED devices, which are fast and much, much better than the infamous CFLs! The forced mass purchasing of billions of CFLs could have been avoided! Similarly, our Gracious Masters and Gods should have waited until electric, hydrogen, or whatever technology becomes affordable and people willingly opt for such cars! But no, they like ruling and dictating, and they’re as stupid as Greta Cuntberg!
The European automotive industry is on life support because of the EU’s stupid plans to phase out the ICE cars. It’s all but dead. Such brainless following of a stupid regulation was previously encountered only in the Soviet Union and its satellite countries. So tell me again how calling the EU “the Soviet European Union” is “an extremist thing”!
The rest of the planet will undoubtedly keep using ICE cars for decades to come. Is anyone expecting Latin America, Africa, and the poorest parts of Asia to go “full electric”? It’s a shame to be born and to live in Europe! And things are not much better in the United States, either.
But what makes and brands will these cars come from? Which companies will still be producing them? With Europeans and Japanese going full electric (Toyota changed the focus, though), meaning they literally face the death of their automakers, the answer is not obvious. Even the Chinese are betting for electric, but they own lithium and rare earth quarries, battery factories, and everything. Also, at 1.4B+ population, they need to fight the real pollution.
What is “real pollution,” you might ask? Go to this previous post of mine on a different matter and only read the English-language quotations describing Freeman Dyson. Let me cut short to the bare minimum:
The eminent physicist Freeman Dyson … had proposed that whatever inflammations the climate was experiencing might be a good thing because carbon dioxide helps plants of all kinds grow. Then he added the caveat that if CO2 levels soared too high, they could be soothed by the mass cultivation of specially bred “carbon-eating trees” …
Dyson well remembers the lethal black London coal fog of his youth when, after a day of visiting the city, he would return to his hometown of Winchester with his white shirt collar turned black. Coal, Dyson says, contains “real pollutants” like soot, sulphur and nitrogen oxides, “really nasty stuff that makes people sick and looks ugly.” These are “rightly considered a moral evil,” he says, but they “can be reduced to low levels by scrubbers at an affordable cost.”
He was absolutely right. CO2 is not a pollutant, regardless of how much of it we have in the atmosphere. Pollutants are SO2 and NOx, and those PM2.5 and PM10 particulate residues that every single car is releasing. They are pollutants because they can give you lung cancer. The CO2 can never do that!
And electric cars do not offset the real pollution that much. First, because they need electricity, which in most cases is still produced by burning fossil fuels, especially as Germany closed all its remaining nuclear power plants after the Fukushima disaster in 2011. The last three operational plants—Emsland, Isar 2, and Neckarwestheim 2—were shut down in April 2023. Italy, on the other hand, phased out its nuclear power much earlier. Following the Chernobyl disaster in 1986, Italy held a referendum in 1987, resulting in the decision to close its existing nuclear plants and abandon future nuclear projects. By 1990, all of Italy’s nuclear power plants were shut down. It’s only these days that Italy is reconsidering this decision, because “Italy’s demand for electricity will almost double by 2050.” There isn’t enough electricity anyway, especially during hot summers and chilly winters, yet they want to increase the electricity consumption even more! Add to the equation the data centers, the AI crap that Draghi wants to see further developed in the EU, and all such “modern” sources of absurdly high electricity requirements, and you’ll find this strategy stupid. The “renewables” are expensive, and they cannot take much of a share in the overall electricity generation. Solar and wind need storage, which means, you guessed right, huge, expensive batteries.
Batteries, right? The official dogmas say they’re green. They’re not at all green! I’ll not elaborate on that, but the Elektroschrott (the e-waste), which includes the solar panels, has huge recycling issues. And the number one manufacturer is China, by the way. Is the European Commission trying to make China even more prosperous?
And not only the European Commission is doing that. The fucking suicidal automakers do the same! Stellantis, that fucked-up merger between PSA (Peugeot, Citroën, Opel) and FCA (Fiat Chrysler Automobiles) that has destroyed the trust in PSA’s brands due to the abysmal lack of reliability of the 1.2 PureTech engine whose plastic timing belt is literally dissolving, and who also almost destroyed Fiat (or what was left of it after the late Sergio Marchionne abandoned B-segment cars such as Punto), became a strategic investor in the Chinese EV maker Leapmotor! After having invested €1.5 billion to acquire approximately 21% equity in Leapmotor in 2023, the resulting joint venture Leapmotor International B.V. (note its residence in the Netherlands, which is sort of a fiscal haven for holding company structures, and this made Renault move its legal residence from France to the Dutch Renault Group B.V.) is 49% owned by China and 51% owned by Stellantis. Long live the People’s Republic of China! Already, the first batches of electric Chinese Leapmotor C10 (D-segment SUV) and T03 (A-segment replacement of Fiat 500e) that left Shanghai in July have reached Europe! Leapmotor International will sell C10 and T03 in nine European countries starting in September and plans to establish 200 sales points for Leapmotor vehicles in Europe by the end of 2024. The distribution channel is mostly based on the FCA network.
There are small details nobody talks about. The Chinese-built T03 is meant to replace the electric Fiat 500e. Incidentally, a small part of the production will be made at the former Fiat Polska plant where the normal Fiat 500 (aspirated, turbo, then hybrid) was made, probably the customized models, but still from CKD kits from China. The “the new new” Fiat 500 hybrid will be made next year in Italy, at the same plant that now still makes the electric 500, which is being discontinued because it’s too expensive. The new 500 hybrid will be on the platform (except for the powertrain) of the former 500 electric, which is known to be a simplified build and with a much worse finish than the regular 500. So anyone who wants the non-electric 500 will get one that looks like the former 500e, with cheap finishes, but with a hybrid engine. Anyone who wants electric will buy the Chinese Leapshit! Stellantis is destroying its European brands!
As for the D-segment SUV Leapmotor C10, have you noticed how many EVs, including the Chinese BYD and MG (whose EVs are made in China) are SUVs? Sure, they’re following the general trend of making cars larger than a Panzer. But this also makes them heavier, and let’s talk one more time about pollutants.
Press Release: Pollution From Tyre Wear 1,000 Times Worse Than Exhaust Emissions:
- Tight regulation of exhaust emissions by the EU has meant that new cars emit very little particle pollution
- But tyre wear pollution is unregulated and can be 1,000 times worse, finds independent real-world testing experts Emissions Analytics
- Increased popularity of SUVs, larger and heavier than standard vehicles, exacerbates this problem – as does growing sales of heavy EVs and widespread use of budget tyres
- Fitting only high-quality tyres and lowering vehicle weight are routes to reducing these ‘non-exhaust emissions’
Oxford, 6th March 2020: Pollution from tyre wear can be 1,000 times worse than what comes out of a car’s exhaust, Emissions Analytics has found.
Harmful particle matter from tyres – and also brakes – is a very serious and growing environmental problem, one that is being exacerbated by the increasing popularity of large, heavy vehicles such as SUVs, and growing demand for electric vehicles, which are heavier than standard cars because of their batteries.
What’s more, vehicle tyre wear pollution is completely unregulated, unlike exhaust emissions which have been rapidly reduced by car makers thanks to the pressure placed on them by European emissions standards. New cars now emit very little in the way of particulate matter but there is growing concern around ‘non-exhaust emissions’.
Non-exhaust emissions (NEE) … are currently believed to constitute the majority of primary particulate matter from road transport, 60 percent of PM2.5 and 73 percent of PM10 – and in its 2019 report ‘Non-Exhaust Emissions from Road Traffic’ by the UK Government’s Air Quality Expert Group (AQEG), it recommended that NEE are immediately recognised as a source of ambient concentrations of airborne particulate matter, even for vehicles with zero exhaust emissions of particles – such as EVs.
To understand the scale of the problem, Emissions Analytics – the leading independent global testing and data specialist for the scientific measurement of realworld emissions – performed some initial tyre wear testing. Using a popular family hatchback running on brand new, correctly inflated tyres, we found that the car emitted 5.8 grams per kilometer of particles.
Compared with regulated exhaust emission limits of 4.5 milligrams per kilometer, the completely unregulated tyre wear emission is higher by a factor of over 1,000. Emissions Analytics notes that this could be even higher if the vehicle had tyres which were underinflated, or the road surfaces used for the test were rougher, or the tyres used were from a budget range – all very recognisable scenarios in ‘real world’ motoring.
Richard Lofthouse, Senior Researcher at Emissions Analytics said: “It’s time to consider not just what comes out of a car’s exhaust pipe but particle pollution from tyre and brake wear. Our initial tests reveal that there can be a shocking amount of particle pollution from tyres – 1,000 times worse than emissions from a car’s exhaust.”
Now, to amend part of the above text: the upcoming Euro 7 regulations, due to come into force at the end of 2026 in the EU, will regulate particle emissions from brakes and tires. But this will make the EVs even more expensive, as a heavier car, by all laws of physics, creates more wear and tear in both brakes and tires! I don’t even know how they’ll manage to comply. Unless, of course, after Dieselgate, we’ll have a Tiresgate and a Brakesgate!
From Euro 4 to Euro 6d, cars have become 2–3 times more expensive; in addition, because small engines cannot meet the increasingly stringent rules (the derogation for Euro 7 is the best proof), and because the legislation requires all sorts of electronic crap to prevent accidents (although they can be disconnected), cars have started to get bigger and bigger, to justify the higher prices, and they have started to be hybrids to meet the rules. But a big, heavy car, especially an electric SUV, not only produces more PM2.5/PM10 particulates through tire and road wear, but is also much more dangerous in a crash!
The generalizations of Panzer cars, electric or not, had an avalanche effect. When you know that the car that might crash into you won’t have 700 to 950 kg like in the 1980s, but rather 2,000 to 2,600 kg, would you still buy an A or B segment car, or a D segment one? Europe is on its way to becoming as retarded as North America.
A couple of days ago, Luca de Meo, CEO of Renault and president of the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA), ate some shit on France Inter. He insisted that, as the hybrid cars get increasingly expensive (the list price for a Renault Clio is €24k as per his saying), the EVs are cheaper in the long run, and they’re more durable. More durable, my ass. How about the batteries, connard? The current EVs are eating tires 30–50% faster than ICE cars, not only because of their increased weight but also because of their acceleration: the maximum torque is available almost instantly, which also contributes to an increased accident rate of EVs!
But the most important thing is that, as Luca de Meo also complained, Europe’s autos industry could face fines of 15 billion euros ($17.4 billion) for carbon emissions due to slowing demand for electric vehicles:
“If electric vehicles remain at today’s level, the European industry may have to pay 15 billion euros in fines or give up the production of more than 2.5 million vehicles,” de Meo told France Inter radio.
“The speed of the electric ramp-up is half of what we would need to achieve the objectives that would allow us not to pay fines,” de Meo, who is also president of the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA), said of the sector.
Exceeding CO2 limits can lead to fines amounting to 95 euros per excess CO2 g/km multiplied by the number of vehicles sold.
It is clear that the CO2 thresholds and these fines for not lowering CO2 emissions as much and as fast as the European Commission’s dogma wants are destroying the European car industry. How can anyone in their right mind still defend this criminal construct called the European Union?
The right solution to decreasing the pollution in Europe is to increase the public transport network and its reliability. Driving e-Panzers is grotesque. But even about mass transit, there are aspects that need to be discussed.
We do not need electric buses, which are very expensive, very heavy, and full of Chinese batteries! What we need is in this range: trolleybuses, trams, subways, or the more recent rubber-tired trams such as the trambus. Trolleybuses are still the cheapest to implement (the rubber-tired trams fall in the same category). They were extremely popular in Europe until some stupid mayors have decided that they’re “unesthetic” and that the power lines are “too expensive.” Oh, yeah, so let’s buy the even more expensive electric buses! The same mayors have removed most of the trams, for they’re even more expensive to maintain! Yeah, sure. Let’s destroy what we already had.
The rail-based mass transit, underground and overground, must also be fully electric. And let me tell you how not to do this! Deutsche Bahn (DB) has faced criticism for its lack of investment in infrastructure in the past 25 years, particularly in the electrification of railway lines. With only around 61% of the network electrified, DB has turned to Siemens and asked them to develop battery-powered electric trains! Everything is more expensive, heavier, and battery-powered! Is everyone in Europe mentally retarded?!
The China problem
The “China problem” is not only in relation to EVs, batteries, solar panels, and shit. It’s a more general issue, and it’s the collective West that has created it by moving its production to China starting in the early 1980s, following Deng Xiaoping’s economic liberalization.
This should have been considered treason or high treason, but the corporate greed and the politicians’ cupidity ensured its continued success. China’s success, and the West’s decline, for sure.
China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001, so when there aren’t any bilateral tariff agreements, the WTO rules provide limited import duties for most products. Beyond the basic WTO Commitments, there are also the Most-Favored-Nation (MFN) tariffs, typically around 7-8% on average for industrial goods. Currently, the average tariff rate on industrial goods faced by China is about 7.5%; for most consumer goods, including electronics, tariffs are below 10% (closer to 7%, often below 5% due to ongoing trade agreements), with some key items like IT products being at 0% due to the Information Technology Agreement (ITA). Agricultural products generally face higher tariffs, averaging around 15%, but this varies widely depending on the specific product.
Therefore, the 25% tariffs imposed in 2019 by the Trump administration on a limited range and quantity of Chinese products, followed by another 15%, reduced to 7.5%, round in 2019-2020, were just peanuts. (He also imposed tariffs on EU products: 25% on steel and 10% on aluminum, then 10% on aircraft; 25% on other products such as wine, cheese, and olives.) And the EU never imposed real tariffs on Chinese goods!
Until now, that is. But even now, the proposed EU tariffs on the Chinese-made EVs were scaled down to 7.8% for Tesla, 17% for BYD, 18.8% for Geely, and 35.3% for SAIC and other companies, on top of a standard 10% duty already imposed on Chinese auto imports. Peanuts, I say! In comparison, the US and Canada announced a 100% tariff on imports of Chinese-made EVs, with Canada planning a 25% tariff on Chinese steel and aluminum.
But would this help? This would surely fire back if the Chinese retaliate with their own punitive tariffs. Let’s not count the exports of aircraft, as China’s Comac (C919 and ARJ21) and AVIC (the Xi’an range) are no match for Airbus and Boeing (and ATR, if we think of Xi’an). But the EU is exporting to China machinery and equipment, vehicles and automotive parts, chemicals and pharmaceuticals, medical equipment, then dairy products, wines and spirits, and meat (especially pork). In the non-technological fields, the US seems more vulnerable, with soybeans, corn, wheat, and other grains making an important part of its exports to China.
I personally believe that there should have been no trade under the WTO with China.
Let me summarize a thought I had some 30 years ago, when Europe started being suffocated with products Made in China. There was still the age of Panascanic and Abibas, but quality products also came from China, including my dirt-cheap walkman clone (scroll down for more pics; cheap but extremely robust and reliable), my Sony boombox (identical to this one, except for having all 3 FM bands, OIRT-JP-CCIR, in one) and, a few years later, my first laptop (it came with Win98SE). Coffeehouse or pub wisdom, but still.
In the context of Central and Eastern European countries having switched to democratic, multi-party societies, I was thinking of an apparent paradox, especially as left-wing parties were still focusing on workers’ rights. If we in Europe were to insist on the observance of human rights, including workers’ rights (better and safer working conditions, shorter working weeks, and longer paid holidays, specific minimum hourly rates), how could we keep being competitive with imports coming from countries that don’t give a rat’s ass on human rights, on workers’ rights, on environmental protection, and where people work 12–16 hours a day while being paid peanuts? This seemed an impossibility, unless serious customs protections would offset this discrepancy. Say, if a country doesn’t observe the aforementioned rights or the environment, and if the minimum and the average wages aren’t above specific thresholds, slap the imports from it with a 300-400% tariff!
Obviously, such a thing never happened. Everyone was for free trade and the maximization of profits. (Milton Friedman: “The social responsibility of a business is to increase its profits.”) If we look at the death of the UK’s industry, we see the model Europe wanted to have: let the peons of the Third World do the physical work, and we’ll do the intellectual tasks; we’ll develop the services (the tertiary sector), and we’ll innovate in the “financial industry” field. Yeah, wisely planned. A country or a continent that cannot produce most of its own food (the current case in the UK), that cannot make its own clothes, and that imports most of its consumer goods might not be considered “Third World,” but it’s extremely vulnerable to adverse conditions!
During WWII, when Britain was isolated, but in just about any single war in which any given country had to severely limit its international trade, the only enemy to fear was the enemy’s army. Usually, any country was able to live out of its own produce and manufactured goods. If 70-80% of the staple goods are domestic-made, this is possible. Say it’s not a war, but a bubonic plague pandemic, or COVID-19 for that matter. Or, suppose it’s a nuclear war. Who will survive: a country where most people know to use Excel and to understand the Stock Exchange lingo, or a country where people know to cultivate the fields, to raise animals, to manufacture clothing, and so on? Today, if there’s no Internet or if some piece of software in the Cloud breaks, an entire planet is paralyzed! This is how vulnerable our civilization has become.
If the supermarket cannot scan a product because the IT infrastructure is down, they cannot sell me food. How absurd is that? It happened to me more than once to be unable to purchase some grocery item because “it was not in the computer.” What I should have said is this: “Oh, sorry, my bad; I bought this product elsewhere, and it somehow got mixed with my shopping cart’s contents.” If the item isn’t in their system, how can they prove it’s theirs? Modern society is a complete fuckup.
Long story made short: there’s no way to solve “the China problem” unless strong protectionist measures are adopted. But this won’t happen, and not only because of the greedy corporations. It’s a Catch-22, or more like a zugzwang. Let me quote again from myself:
But even as Taiwan’s president wants to treat economic security as national security, what is the West doing? The West is still relying on China for most everyday products! This is more than insane, this is outright suicidal! And the moving back of industrial production to the US and the EU won’t happen anytime soon, except for a few crucial fields, such as semiconductors. Kamala Harris made it clear that taxing imports from China would mean the consumer will pay more, which she can’t accept. She thought she fought Trump, but she fought national security at that. So there’s no incentive to manufacture products in the US, as long as it’s cheaper to make them in China. Even if in the long run, the manufacturing of more and more products would “return home,” this will be strongly opposed. That’s because such products will be increasingly expensive. Such a move would need a radical change in consumers’ habits from “buying more and buying often” to “buying quality products that last longer,” provided that someone offers such products. Even so, people should understand that they need to work in factories instead of moving a mouse and making video conferences. I don’t see the TikTokers doing that; they seek quick enrichment, either as social media influencers, or as cryptominers, if not stock exchange speculators. Unless, of course, they’re Europeans from the Last Generation, in which case they deface paintings, block roads and airports, because their goddess is that stupid bitch who goes by the name of Greta Cuntberg.
Replace “US” with “EU” and everything else remains true.
I’ll stick to another opinion of mine from the 1990s: in the long run, Latin America and Africa might have better survival chances than Europe and the United States. They would end up dominated, just like Southeast Asia, by China, but they’ll survive as a society. We won’t.
Energy, ethics, wars and sanctions
As I already said, the increase in the price of energy in the EU started towards the fall of 2021, before any war with Russia, and it was generated by the European Commission’s implementation of the so-called “liberalization of the European energy markets,” which included the separation of supply and production activities, and the gradual obligation to trade energy through the European Energy Exchange (EEX) AG in Leipzig. Only then there was a war. But there also a planned European subordination to the American liquefied natural gas (in the same blog post).
This being said, the price of the natural gas in the EU is roughly 5 times higher than in the US. Page 10 of Part A of Draghi’s report:
While energy prices have fallen considerably from their peaks, EU companies still face electricity prices that are 2-3 times those in the US and natural gas prices paid are 4-5 times higher.
Wonderful. Meanwhile, with all the sanctions that we seemingly have imposed on Russia, their gas is still transiting Ukraine to reach the European Union! WHAT THE FUCK. Reuters:
Russia’s economy ministry has revised up its 2024 forecasts for export sales of oil and gas, key sources of budget revenues, by $17.4 billion from the previous estimate to $239.7 billion thanks to a more positive price outlook, a document seen by Reuters showed.
The improved expectations for Russia’s oil and gas business underscore how the West has struggled to inflict lasting damage on Russia’s economy through unprecedented sanctions, including oil price caps and import restrictions, over Moscow’s war with Ukraine.
The document showed that Russian crude oil exports are seen rising to 239.9 million metric tons (4.8 million barrels per day) this year from 238.3 million tons in 2023.
The ministry also expects the average price of Russian oil sold for export to rise this year to $70 per barrel, a $5 upward revision from an estimate made in April. This is also up from $64.5 in 2023 and above the price cap of $60 per barrel imposed by the West.
Natural gas prices were also revised up, for sales in both Europe and China.
Russia has managed to divert much of its business away from Europe since its invasion of Ukraine, ramping up trade with China and India.
The revisions ultimately mean higher revenues. Earning nearly $240 billion from oil and gas exports this year would represent a $13 billion increase on 2023. In 2025, the forecast was also raised, to $236.5 billion from $226.2 billion in the previous forecast.
I can’t even.
So far, Putin’s gas and oil has reached Orbán’s Hungary as usual, war or no war. It’s only now that Viktor Orbán is gradually losing his Russian discount.
For the last two years, Hungary has enjoyed special EU exemptions giving it access to Russian oil at well below market rates. In June, Ukraine put that arrangement in doubt when it blocked Russian energy giant Lukoil from sending products through the country to the EU.
Hungary and Slovakia, another lingering Russian oil importer, swiftly warned that energy shortages loomed for both. They demanded the EU intervene.
But in the weeks since, the crude oil has kept flowing. Data from energy intelligence service Argus Media shows that Hungary and Slovakia received a combined 720,000 tons of crude in August, compared to 792,000 in July and 610,000 in June. The European Commission gave a similar assessment this week.
There could be several reasons for the broadly unaltered flows. While Lukoil is blocked, other Russian oil producers aren’t — and are free to keep sending crude across Ukraine. Additionally, Lukoil can sell its oil at the Ukrainian border to a trader that sells it to the EU. If that fails, Croatia is eagerly offering its own pipeline as an alternative supply route.
What the fucking fuck. The Russian oil and gas should have completely stopped entering the EU, full stop.
But how can anyone trust the Europeans’ words (they keep saying that “Crimea is Ukraine”), when after the 2014 annexation of Crimea, only the most symbolic of the sanctions were adopted, and every kind of business with Russia kept going on as if nothing ever happened?
One can never trust any promise made by the European Union. The Eurocrats are as trustworthy as Putin’s Russia or as the former Soviet Union’s General Secretary.
The “Draghi and the ECB” problem
Mario Draghi served 2011-2019 as President of the European Central Bank (ECB), after having been 2006-2011 Governor of the Bank of Italy and 2009-2011 Chair of the Financial Stability Board.
Of course, we’re now much worse with Christine Lagarde at the ECB. This woman, previously the 11th Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) from 2011 to 2019, and having a long history in France’s governments, including being Minister of the Economy, Finance, and Industry 2007-2011, has absolutely zero competency in finance and economy! Her degrees are in law and law alone. How did she manage to occupy such high positions, for which she’s utterly incompetent?
But Draghi, while not a stupid individual, has his faults.
It was under Draghi’s leadership that the ECB first lowered its deposit facility rate to 0% in July 2012, and then moved it into negative interest rates in June 2014: -0.1%. This was gradually lowered further in subsequent years. You know what followed: the banks are shitting on us ever since!
It’s true that Draghi didn’t invent the concept. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) first introduced its zero interest rate policy in February 1999. It then raised interest rates in August 2000 to 0.25%, only to return to the zero interest rate policy in March 2001. The BOJ has since then mostly maintained extremely low interest rates, even venturing into negative territory in 2016. So when the BOJ went into negative rates in January 2016, the ECB already had negative interests since June 2014!
In Europe, the Swedish Riksbank was the first central bank to implement negative interest rates for deposits: -0.25% in July 2009. It raised it back to positive territory in September 2010. The Riksbank reintroduced negative rates in February 2015: -0.1%. This was further lowered to -0.5% by February 2016.
The negative interest rates are a concept “against nature”: if the banks don’t want our money, why don’t they give us all their money? Why should anyone PAY THE BANK to keep their money?!
The official rationale is a stupid one. Famous economists have blamed the sluggish economy on the lack of investment. They should have insisted that regulatory agencies and legislators force the banks to start doing again what they were still doing 40 years ago: financing the business plans of small and medium enterprises. Instead, they blamed the population. To them, the population was making too many economies instead of spending and investing. The stress was on investing.
The century-old wisdom and precautionary thinking was that people and families put some money aside for unexpected needs. Making economies was a sign of wisdom. In recent times, however, under the influence of the increasingly irrational American mindset, people were told to be continuously indebted to banks. Saving made an outcast of you, a pariah. And now they’re surprised at the fact that the vast majority of the American population couldn’t afford a supplementary cost of $400 because they don’t have this amount of savings! When you know the healthcare costs out there, this literally means that most Americans are living in poverty.
So they want to make us, Europeans, slaves of the banks. And we didn’t obey. Particularly, the Germans were not keen to spend all their gains, so they made savings. No problem, the ECB, and by a cascading process, all commercial banks, punished us.
The real problem, once we ignore the outrageous abuse of the ECB, is that this didn’t increase the investment. It only increased the consumption. The big oligopolies became even richer. The imports from China increased, only to be disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. But the small and medium businesses still got no funding for their projects! It’s ridiculous to depend on predatory venture capitalists, angel investors, or even crowdfunding platforms like Kickstart, Indiegogo, or Ulule. What are banks for, then? To give people consumer credits?
Another idiocy of the ECB, this time under Christine Lagarde’s leadership, was to spread the panic about an imminent deflation. Negative inflation, if you prefer. As sure as eggs is eggs, this deflation never came. Quite the opposite happened: the energy got more expensive, and everything followed the trend. That was before Russia invaded Ukraine!
You should understand that a deflation would indeed be catastrophic in theory. That’s why economists, governments, and others prefer a moderate inflation rate of about 2% annually.
But a true deflation would be almost impossible nowadays. In theory, in a deflationary economy, people would defer to tomorrow what they wanted to buy today. As tomorrow is another day, and the deflation is still there, they would defer to after tomorrow. Apply, rinse, repeat.
Now tell me this: how can you not purchase the food you need? Or the clothing you need? How about the ISP or the Netflix subscription? Who cares that €10 tomorrow could buy more than €10 today if you need those products or services? If you need a new car, you’ll just buy it! (Or lease it, duh.) People would only avoid purchasing goods and services that they don’t actually need. But this was the normal behavior 50+ years ago: why returning to a sane normal would be wrong? In the short term, true, this would increase the unemployment. But in each and every crisis of any kind, when people stop purchasing what they don’t really need, this is what happens.
So deflation only happened in some Excel files they were examining. Just like the negative interests on deposits, which made the banks even more parasitic, the “fake news” of a looming deflation only created more havoc than it was supposed to prevent.
We do have an ECB problem in Europe.
Centralism and corruption by design
Quoting myself from 2021:
The EU is more than ever a bureaucratic burden instead of being of any use. I always said that this USSR-like construct wasn’t needed in order to ensure the free movement of people, merchandise, and money. (Merchandise-wise, Turkey being in the EEA, they only need visas for their people.) The most socialist (if not even communist) principle of the EU is “give your money to us, and instead of letting you sponsor your national infrastructure, agriculture, digital economy, culture, etc., it’s up to us to decide who deserves such funding.” Looks like Moscow in the Soviet times, only it’s Brussels. So a country can’t provide aids for a national aeronautic company, but the EU can sponsor random businesses such as a private dental clinic in Romania and a small software development company in Germany (not open-source, but commercial products!), in both cases with over a million of euros, for it counts as “regional development.” It counts as pan-European Mafia to me.
The lack of legitimacy of the EU institution isn’t “populism” but reality: even if the European MEPs are indeed elected, the European Parliament cannot initiate laws, they can only amend what the European Commission presents them with. And either way, it looks like the most imbecile individuals are getting jobs at Brussels, for the citizens of Europe aren’t aware of the importance of who they’re sending there! Brussels is the epitome of a supra-national Mafia that abolishes national sovereignty. Take the recent case of Poland, who was ordered by the ECJ to close some coal mines; Poland said no, because it’s their sovereign right to do so. But the EU managed to do more than Hitler and Stalin with their tanks: to subjugate an entire continent of formerly free nations! As for how and why a unique currency can only lead to disaster, there are smart economists who know the answer. But apparently, our only hope stays in those “populists” who might trigger one day a Frexit, an Italxit, and so on.
I gave a couple of examples for the first topic, that of the centralized “European funding” of projects. Unfortunately, that post is in Romanian, but it presents: (1) a small IT company in Romania, with pictures; (2) a dental practice, also in Romania; (3) LanguageTooler GmbH, the makers of LanguageTool!
From last one’s Imprint:
The European Union and the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) support this project by providing funding. They support the development of error detection algorithms in multilingual texts, and the development of our browser add-ons and website.
Supported by the Ministry of Labour, Social Affairs, Health, Women and Family from funds of the European Social Fund, who support the development of our style checker. You can find information about the ESF at esf.brandenburg.de.
Once again: a government cannot subsidize a public or a private company, as this would “distort the free market”; but the EU is free to do just that!
Such “non-repayable grants” are, in my view, severely distorting any market. What is this, alms?! The process of getting such European funds approved for one’s business project is prone to creating corruption at the local level, where the applications are accepted (they have to be filled out in due form), and possibly at Brussels too. Why couldn’t they leave each country with the already existing corruption? Why adding to it?
The second topic, that of who gets in the European Parliament, is also further developed in my post from 2023, but I’m not sure that an automated translation from Romanian would do it justice. Let me translate only a specific paragraph:
Once an EC Directive is adopted, it is virtually impossible to change it, at least not because a single country has reconsidered. I am not aware of any case where a pan-European consensus has been reached whereby a Directive repealing an earlier Directive has been voted. Not to amend or replace it, but to recognize it as inadequate. Now, if national sovereignty still existed, after new elections in which the population elected new representatives, they could repeal any law. As an EU member, a national parliament can only repeal a national law, but not a law implementing a European Directive! It’s no use having a new government (and therefore new representatives in the Council of the European Union) and new MEPs, as long as they cannot vote to repeal a Directive previously approved when the representatives of that country had different views.
This is why I insist that the EU is an antidemocratic construct because it destroys the national sovereignty itself. The Eurodogma that labels the “sovereignists” as “agents of Putin’s” and “right-wing” is abject. Giving up sovereignty is unnatural and wrong. This has nothing to do with nationalism; it’s just common sense.
That some such right-wing parties are harmful—that’s another story. That some of their people are siding with Putin—that’s a sad fact. But this is all Europe’s fault.
Even the recent landmark victory of AfD in Thüringen is the EU’s fault. Let me explain. I’ll start by quoting from what the political scientist Ursula Münch told Deutsche Welle back in March:
The AfD has evolved from its early days, when it was dismissed as a party catering to economics professors, into a “far-right party that is extremist, antisemitic and racist,” political scientist Ursula Münch told DW.
At the time of its founding, the AfD was critical of the euro currency and the EU bailout program for Greece. In September 2012, the “Election Alternative 2013” was formed — the precursor to the AfD. Economics professor Bernd Lucke, journalist Konrad Adam and Alexander Gauland a former member of the center-right Christian Democratic Union then turned it into the Alternative for Germany.
The party was officially founded on February 6, 2013. Since then, “the AfD has become a permanent fixture in the German party system, where a decidedly liberal-conservative force had previously been sorely lacking,” wrote AfD co-chair Alice Weidel in response to a DW query on the tenth anniversary of the party’s foundation.
The party fast became a rallying point for people with right-wing attitudes for whom existing far-right extremist splinter groups seemed too extreme, but who had become disenchanted with the liberal tendencies of the center-right Christian Democratsunder former Chancellor Angela Merkel.
From the beginning, the AfD comprised three different movements: the liberal economists, the national conservatives and right-wing populists.
The frequent change of leadership has become a distinctive feature of the AfD, as more moderate leaders opt out.
The party’s radicalization began when hundreds of thousands of people fled to Germany in 2015, seeking protection from the war in Syria. Xenophobic anti-refugee street protests began to grow, especially in eastern Germany, the former communist GDR, which had known little immigration until 1989.
AfD founding member Alexander Gauland once referred to this development as “a gift” for his party, whose anti-government rhetoric turned increasingly aggressive. In 2016, then-AfD leader Frauke Petry said refugees should be prevented from crossing the border into Germany by force of arms if necessary.
Indeed, the AfD was initiated, as I recall, by a group of economists who argued that the single currency was bad for Germany. That the single currency is bad for countries with healthier economies is obvious to any financier who is not retarded. The dilution of the effects of bad policies in countries like Greece is paid for, on the principle of communicating vessels, by all other countries. In practice, a euro weaker than the DM would have been, has served German exporters but not the population, which consumes a lot of imported goods.
Hundreds of thousands of refugees? Millions even! And not all were fleeing Bashar al-Assad’s regime. They weren’t all from Syria, and they weren’t all from Afghanistan. Those from Egypt were clearly economic refugees. But instead of looking for a legal path, they paid up to €10,000 to smugglers to boat them across the Mediterranean. And you can’t throw them back in the water!
The problems with Angela’s refugee policy are multi-faceted. Naturally, if Germany had not taken in refugees, Greece and Italy would have been suffocated. And so they’re overwhelmed. But the real issue is another one.
Refugees or not, in Germany or elsewhere, the thing with the massive influx of largely uneducated people unwilling to abide by the rules of civilized social coexistence is this: the respective countries have done nothing to enforce the law. France hasn’t enforced its laws in entire neighborhoods for decades. When in Rome, do as the Romans do? Not so for an important part of such refugees! And the law enforcement didn’t enforce anything!
Germany should have found funds to hire tens of thousands of police and civil servants. It should have set up regular patrols in areas with many “boatie” refugees. These patrols do not exist because they say, “We are not a police state.” Then what happens is that you become an anarchy, and no wonder that the public, perceiving that public safety is decreasing, vote for AfD and Die Heimat (ex-NPD).
Germany should also have hired officials to check whether asylum seekers really qualify for the aid. Otherwise, you end up like France, paying benefits to people who are no longer in the country. And the allowances can be higher than those paid under Hartz IV, hence the frustration of those who, as a result, instead of voting SPD or Die Linke, vote AfD.
Finally, Germany practices “positive discrimination” towards refugees, so that a German citizen will not find a place in a nursery or kindergarten, which are reserved in priority for refugees. I know of a case where a town hall had to be forced by a court of law to find a place in Kita (nursery) for a German child! How can the population not revolt? How can they not vote AfD when the government’s policy is perceived as being due to the application of European treaties? With such headless politicians, we have ended up where we are now.
And it’s indeed EU’s fault, too. National politicians dare not question Brussels’ policies for fear of being declared “extremists.” Especially Germany, with its Nazi past, has adopted this “ostrich policy.”
And this is why AfD will rule them all. When you deny that a problem even exists, the problem will be solved by extremists.
Not only antidemocratic and inept, but it doesn’t even work!
There are several ways the EU is not democratic. The Americans should understand it easier, as their Union, which is a Federation, has a distinction between Federal Authority vs. State Autonomy, and many Americans still perceive the Federal Government as being too intrusive. Yet, their Congress’ members are elected in full earnestness! So the federal legislation is 100% legitimate. In the EU, which is not even a Federation of States, the members of the European Parliament are often elected from the failed politicians, i.e., those who failed to be elected in national parliaments. No wonder the EU is such a sham of a democracy.
Now, I’m not sure that I’ll be understood. While many Americans hold strong feelings about the national flag and view its desecration, such as burning, as highly disrespectful, more like a blasphemy, the law says otherwise. Burning the American flag is protected under the First Amendment of the Constitution, which guarantees freedom of speech, and the Supreme Court has upheld this right Not that it would be advisable to do such a thing. Well, in many European countries, it’s a criminal offense to burn the flag! You’ll be prosecuted if you publicly desecrate or destroy the national flag, including burning it, in Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and other countries. In Poland, you’re facing jail time.
However, the EU flag generally doesn’t benefit from such legal protections. That’s to say that most EU countries do not have specific laws against burning it. Well, some do. In Bulgaria, a protester that burned a Russian flag ended up in jail, which is absurd and it doesn’t have anything to do with the EU, but here’s what the article says: “While damaging the Bulgarian or EU flag is punishable by up to two years in prison, no such prohibition exists for flags of other nations.” So you can get two years of jail time for burning the EU flag in Bulgaria!
I’m sorry, but I am all for the freedom of expression. If burning the EU flag can put you in jail, this is anything but democratic. The fucking European Union is not even a country!
Another topic now. What they call Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) in the States has hit Europe for about 20 years with regard to promoting women.
Norway, Iceland, France, and Spain have laws requiring at least 40% of board members to be women on publicly listed companies (Italy only requires a third). France also has penalties for political parties that don’t meet gender parity requirements for candidates. But the European Commission aims higher.
The Von der Leyen 1.0 Commission consisted of 44% women and 56% men, later to be adjusted to 48% women, still falling just short of gender parity (or is it sexual parity?). Now, the Von der Leyen 2.0 Commission is unable to meet the new target of “at least 50% women,” so Ursula has pressured EU countries to swap women in for the proposed commissioners! She asked each country to nominate two candidates—one male and one female—to give her leeway in appointing a gender-balanced College.
Oh, fuck, the contents of one’s pants is a competence criterion! They don’t need the best person for the job, they choose people based on gender! This is Idiocracy and nothing else!
I fully appreciated the moral fiber of the Irish: “There are member states like Ireland that say they have used their full rights to put the best person forward. In Ireland’s case, a man — namely their finance minister, Michael McGrath.”
Notwithstanding the stupidity to prefer a woman (why not a non-Caucasian lesbian?) to whoever happens to be the most qualified candidate, I have another question for those idiocrats. What do they do when someone declares themself to be non-binary? How could we meet gender parity for 63 genders or whatever? And, again, is this about gender, or about sex?
This is like the mental retardation of those who say that “gender is not sex, so there can be more than two genders,” and therefore they ask for a “Male/Female/Other” field on passports and ID cards, ignoring the fact that all passports and all national ID cards do not have a “gender” field, but only a “SEX” field! The “SEX” field remains correct even if consider yourself to be a lamp post or a tomato! “The plane crashed with 239 passengers, of which 63 were women and 32 were non-binary.” “This hospital has 4 OB-GYN practicians, 2 andrologists, and 2 specialists in lamp posts and tomato people.” No, it cannot work this way. It’s complicated at the lavatories and locker rooms.
But I’m genuinely curious to see what happens when someone will say that they’re non-binary, so “please don’t assume my gender to be the same as the sex assigned at birth, but yes, I want to be an EU Commissioner, thank you.”
A last one. The lack of frontiers is not working. Since this chaotic migration started in 2015, and given the various terror acts, it has already happened more than once, but it’s happening again: Germany announces temporary border checks at all land borders. “We want to further reduce irregular migration.” Of course, this came following a series of deadly knife attacks by migrants. Sure enough, the Belgians are puzzled and displeased: “In the 1980s, we had to get off the bus and they checked all our passports. We’re not going back to that time, are we?” Oh yes, you are. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said the action was unacceptable, while Austria has announced that it will not accept any migrants who are turned back. Isn’t Europe wonderful? United like never before.
The Guardian: ‘The end of Schengen’: Germany’s new border controls put EU unity at risk:
Besides Germany, Schengen members currently operating controls on particular borders include Austria, which cites Ukraine-related security threats and pressure on asylum to check arrivals from Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Slovenia and Hungary.
Denmark, citing terror threats related to the war in Gaza and Russian espionage risks, is carrying out checks on land and sea transit from Germany, and France is checking Schengen zone arrivals on the grounds of an increased terror threat.
Italy, Norway, Sweden, Slovenia and Finland are also operating border checks, variously citing terrorist activity, the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, Russian intelligence activity, increased migration flows and organised crime in the Balkans.
Wunderbar. However,
“It won’t fly under EU law – yet will this dissuade Scholz from going ahead?” he said. Christopher Wratil of the University of Vienna was even more scathing, accusing Berlin of “governing as if the AfD were [already] in power”.
After today, Wratil said, German politicians “should no longer tell me that somebody else is failing to comply with EU law … Wanting to wipe out Schengen with a mere stroke of the pen – and entirely without thinking.”
Speaking of Schengen, which is a complete idiocy (why have the EU, the EEA, and Schengen?), the confusion regarding the European institutions and the corresponding membership is momentous. Just take a look at this chart:
I’ve never seen more insanity in my entire life!
But wait, there’s more. Out of an obvious lack of imagination (and a lack of intelligence), they have different institutions with similar names. If they wanted to confuse 445 million people, c’est chose faite. The most blatant examples:
- There are: the Council of Europe; the Council of the European Union; and the European Council.
- Then you have: the Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU); the European Court of Justice (ECJ).
My head is spinning. WHOEVER DECIDED ON THESE NAMES WAS A COMPLETE MORON!
And I can’t even burn the EU flag, apparently.
If I were to be born again
Nobody gets to be born again. Even if they did, the old saying that one can’t choose their parents could be extended with “nobody chooses where to be born.” But for the sake of the argument, let’s say I get the chance to be born again, just not here. “When” is a different issue, but “where” is more important in my view.
I always considered two hypothetical scenarios: I got reborn at the same date, so in 1970. Alternatively, say I’m still born in Europe, but right now I’m 24 years old, so I can try to immigrate to some other place on Earth. Heck, the place is the same in both cases!
If I were no more than 24 now, I’d learn Spanish, and I’d move to Latin America. I’m dead serious about that.
Central and South America is not a miraculous region. There are countries there that were almost destroyed by incompetence, such as Venezuela. There are countries with recurrent crises, such as Argentina and Brazil. Other countries seem to recover, as was the case with Mexico under AMLO, but then things start drifting a bit. A number of countries are relatively stable and safer than others: Uruguay, Costa Rica, Panama. And Argentina isn’t that bad. I’m not sure about Chile lately.
Even considering that there’s a lot of poverty there, is anywhere a Land of Cockaigne? It surely isn’t. So I really don’t understand those who go out of their way to enter the United States illegally. They won’t find the Paradise there. First, they should avoid being caught by the CBP. Later, they must constantly avoid ICE’s officers. They would also fear the police, unless they live in a “sanctuary” city or county. And they won’t even exist, officially. No SSN, no driver license. How can this be a dream for so many people?
There are over 400 million Spanish speakers in Latin America (out of about 650 million), so with Spanish and English one can have access to almost all the information one could have. The cultural life of Latin America is incredibly complex and rich; it’s just that we don’t know much about it. Writers, thinkers, philosophers, graphic artists, filmmakers, musicians. On the topic of the graphic arts, take a look at Domestika; you’ll find that most teachers there are from Latin America. Lately, they have expanded to the entire planet, but this is an easy way to discover the creativity of a continent.
Should I live there, I’d most likely only know Spanish and English, with Brazilian Portuguese as a possible third language. I’d most likely never learn French, nor would I be interested much in the Italian culture. That would be a bad thing, but if you don’t know what you’re losing, you don’t feel that you’re losing anything!
If I were born there, I wouldn’t read French books in the original, and I wouldn’t watch French movies with the original sound, if at all. Worse even, I would probably never have discovered the universe of the bande dessinée franco-belge. C’est grave, ça, mais on peut vivre avec. They have comic books creators in Latin America. Well, even if I were 24 now, in Europe, targeting Latin America, I’d be a young fool who would have failed to discover the said French-Belgian stuff, so it’s all the same. A completely different life.
Europe is going down the drain. It has absolutely no future. As I wrote here, “We might be facing another Fall of the Western Roman Empire.” Try not being chronically desperate at this thought.
As much we disagree in many topics, we do agree always in recognizing the problem… and I would also say where we want our Europe to be.
Europe is indeed in an exponentially increasing speed downhill in many areas, economically, culturally, politically, civil freedoms and, yes, also technologically.
GDPR I don’t see it as bad in the intention, but in the execution… I am not familiar in how it has got so toothless and even counterproductive for us users if divisions within EU or lobbies or … US meddling. Whatever is the case, US model is not the way! In the US most see the EU’s failed attempt to reign over the privacy issue commendable and more and more states are going for it (and repeating the same mistakes as GDPR, but that is another matter)
What I have found ludicrous is the EU is topping fines on monopolistic behaviors with a maximum of 10% of profits. Heck, if I have a bar in town and can effectively get rid of competition and after the average court ruling length of 7 years have to pay a fine of 10% (so effectively 10% / 7years = 1,4% fine per year) would that dissuade me from illegally getting rid of my competition?! Not even a 100% (actually a 14% per year) fine would even make me consider stop being a delinquent. I think it was made in purpose because it allows monopolistic behavior but still gives the populace the idea of revenge when a mere few billion fine is widely announced.
Then, the US loves to foment hostilities all around the EU that ends up diverting foreign investment initially though for the EU, to the USA conflict after conflict (Balkans, Syria, Libya and now Ukraine… all very nicely spaced out to keep the idea of Europe stability just simmering).
Then you mention the duplication of agencies… and you know it does not stop in countries… In Spain we usually have another 17 redoing the same tasks. In Spain, at any giving time, there must be 1 or 2 million people studding for a “lifetime” government job, so around 4 million voters heavily vested for a government job… you tell me which political party, left or right, dares to reduce these jobs. One thing where democracy actually works! This is hard to tackle but not impossible. In the US, apart from jobs with guns, has stigmatized government jobs enough to people wanted to avoid them, so no pressure on creating unnecessary positions. Moreover, in Europe I have seen some people with much potential after studding 6 years on STEM careers, to end up in academies memorizing over and over 1 month material for years to get a low government job and end up rotting their brilliant brains there.
We fully agree in the population conundrum! The issue is what is the best path to address it. Most of the world population is in par with it now, but our economic models still relying on measuring increase number of people equal to growth. I have some ideas, but I’ll leave for other occasion.
On electric vehicles… China leads the way, not with major mandates or subsidies, just people realizing is the best for them (in 2011 I was surprised to see that most bikes in Shanghai were electrical while I had never had seen one in the EU or US then). Yes, for most people electrical makes sense, but the conversion has to be more organic and not distorted with incentives and bans that make companies weaker for making sale forecasts more unpredictable.
Great post on the tire problem… I was not aware of it!! Some of that burned tire ends up in our lungs! What is your opinion on the cost of externalities? Should we include them in the prices? It’s irritating that in Europe I have to pay 20% tax for eating an apple but Amazon with its trucks up and down multiple times in tiny roads enjoys the subsidized fuel and roads that the local business are disproportionately paying for it. We are taxing the wrong things!
I leave China aside here, it is too complex (I know Asia a bit, China and the Philippines specially).
Wow… you do have material here!!! I leave the rest for other day. You should consider splitting the amazing content in different posts; it is sad to see our reading diminishing attention spam getting thinned as the content progresses. Not your fault, just us… or me?!
By the way, I also would have now adored to have a passport in Latin America. After 20 yrs in the US, I was never interested in a passport here, but a Chilean, Uruguay or Mexican… the first day I could, I would. Not paradises (I know well their problems), but likely the best for my kids’s mental and physical well-being. Surprised, and glad, you did not aim at Australia and New Zealand.
■ I’m fully aware that my longer posts, especially those under the tag “longread,” are too long. But with today’s ADHD epidemic, do you really believe people would bother to read Part I, Part II, Part III, and Part IV as separate posts? I’ve got in the past visitors coming from Hacker News, Reddit, or Google, and most of them never bothered to click on “Here’s a follow-up,” nor on “This is a part of a series: Previous installment here.”
■ On the GDPR: The road to hell is paved with good intentions. Also: In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice, there is.
Obviously, the US is no model. Corporations constantly abuse you in all possible ways, the lack of the “right to repair” has catastrophic impacts even on farmers (John Deere), and so on. But at the other end of the spectrum (not “the spectrum” as in autism!), California is even worse than Europe. All kinds of substances are EXCLUSIVELY “known to the State of California” and California only to cause cancer. Check the list of over 900 substances listed in Proposition 65: even the wood dust is “known to cause cancer” since December 18, 2009!
■ EU’s fines on monopolistic behaviors: it’s more of a show-off than something of relevance. And they don’t even target the really vicious behaviors! For instance, in the past, they forced Microsoft to release Windows XP N Edition, which was XP without Windows Media Player. How can something crippled be more beneficial than the full product?! I’m not sure whose lobbying was that, but certainly not VLC’s. And it wasn’t even a “media player monopoly” à la MSIE 6.0 de facto monopoly. Also, by following this logic, why is Windows Defender allowed? This takes the bread out of the mouth of the security vendors! Even today, if I install a third-party security solution, Windows Defender is not completely disabled! Some of its components are still active.
Finally, I don’t believe in such fines as long as the only beneficiary is the EU’s budget. Are the money from such fines used for a worthwhile purpose? Not that I know of.
■ The US loves to foment hostilities etc. That’s “política exterior” for you. And America First. The world used to be divided between the US and the USSR. Now it becomes more complex, with China aiming to become the most influential power.
■ I can’t see a fix to the population conundrum. Too many people are too many. Too few people actually means too many old hags and too few people of working age. Then, there’s capitalism’s conundrum: if the economic output isn’t constantly increasing, capitalism succumbs. Socialism, being it the “real” or the potential one, still fails to convince, at least for one reason: it would require planning and centralized decisions at a large scale. And we already know how badly this works, even in capitalism! The CEOs are increasingly moronic, and the EU’s centralism… uh, you know my opinion.
■ On the cost of externalities: what should be done with that money? And it’s not just about the tires or about electric cars. Right now, no matter what I purchase that has some electronics inside, I end up paying an “eco-tax.” What are they doing with that money, no matter how little? It’s like the excises on tobacco and spirits: they don’t use them to cover the medical bills of anyone!
■ China and the Philippines: Ah, United States’ fief! But South/Southeast Asia is interesting, albeit rather exotic for us. There are many expats in the Philippines, in Thailand, Malaysia, Vietnam, and so on (too bad Sri Lanka isn’t doing well lately).
But I have some issues with China and its imperialistic ambitions, territorially speaking.
Beyond that, I’d like to express a few thoughts on China, despite not knowing that much about it. Never been there, and only watched a single movie made in PRC.
There are some arguments to support the idea that sometimes corruption in public administration can also play a beneficial role. In “China’s Gilded Age. The Paradox of Economic Boom and Vast Corruption” (2020), the Singaporean Yuen Yuen Ang argues that since the economic liberalization that began in 1978, the continuous increase in corruption and the continuous change in the type of corruption (petty theft, grand theft, and speed money are the three forms of corruption brought under Party control since 1998) have led to unprecedented economic growth that can only be compared to America’s Gilded Age between 1870 and the beginning of World War I, which was itself characterized by huge corruption.
It is also true that, although it fostered economic development, as early as 2006 the Chinese started to worry about the level and negative effects of corruption (Xi Jinping admitted as much in 2012, when he started an open campaign against some of the corrupt officials as he consolidated his power), because too much is too much. We already know from the second period of maximalist American corruption, the Prohibition times, that not all forms of corruption result in positive outcomes. That one had absolutely no positive effect whatsoever and did nothing but create the American mafia (Al Capone, like). But the study of corruption requires intellectual finesse, with paradoxical conclusions.
The political model in PRC is a huge experiment. I’ll never understand why the CCP keeps pretending that it’s still a Communist party and that PRC is still aiming for Marxist ideals. The society is 100% capitalist, despite the state involvement in almost all the big enterprises and despite the CCP having forced the banks to give out loans. Capitalism is about the economy, not about the governance. Politically, it’s a one-party state, but this is also true for many right-wing dictatorships. OK, they want to build a “harmonious” society, and they’re “in a phase of material accumulation,” but let’s be honest: the CCP will never go back to the nationalization of the means of production! So why don’t they rename it “Chinese National Party” and call it a day?!
To an extent, I can understand those Chinese who, after having studied in the US or elsewhere in the West, are still not persuaded that a two-party or multi-party system would lead to much better results. “They’re quarreling all the time, and they’re corrupt, too.” But their CCP is making mistakes, and it’s not listening to anyone. No accountability, no checks and balances, and they don’t even try to meet people’s needs and wishes that could be met.
This idea just came to me. Why doesn’t Xi Jinping establish something like Franco’s Cortes Españolas, or something of the kind, made to include representatives from various guilds and corporative entities? Fascism and “real communism” can sometimes be so similar! Except that fascism is… slightly more democratic. This way, the CCP could claim it established an “organic democracy”—something that would make the declared goal of a future “harmonious” society more plausible.
Xi Jinping would still be able to reject any proposed law. The CCP would still be able to practice censorship, hopefully less strict than now. And this fascism would be a more democratic form of society than the one the PRC has right now!
What a crazy idea, right?
But I had crazy ideas even as a kid. Then, as now, I couldn’t understand why the typical rule in the West was the alternance at power of classic liberal parties and social-democratic ones. There was still the time of that cretinous theory that said, “First, the pro-business parties create richness, then the socialist parties redistribute it, and the cycle repeats.” Today, the left-wing parties have shifted to the right (Blair’s New Labour), and the right-wing ones, populist or not, try to please the plebeians too. But still, the alternance in power means, “Our party governs AGAINST your party, and we’ll make our best to avoid implementing any of the measures suggested by you, because we’re in power, and you’re not.”
Basically, it’s like you were driving a car, but instead of keeping your lane, you’ll alternatively drive in the left ditch for a while, then in the right ditch, and so on. WHY? Why can’t we have governments inclined to COOPERATE, not to RETALIATE?
You can see how the French can’t even make a coalition government. They don’t know what compromising and cooperating means. To them, democracy means to decapitate the King. And, eventually, a Fifth Republic that made Charles de Gaulle and François Mitterrand more like de facto kings.
Even the Germans protested when the “Jamaika” coalition was discussed, and when the current “Ampel” coalition was formed. They disliked coalitions, and some said that a “government of national unity” would be the opposite of democracy. Dummköpfe!
It’s quite the opposite! One way of achieving democracy would be to always have a “government of national unity” and to include in the government’s program a mix of what the various parties intended to do, the mix being weighted to match the proportions of those parties in the national parliament. Of course, this would require strong negotiation abilities, and a desire to find a compromise. No politician wants that!
I believe that a government should govern for the entire society, not for a single party. What we have instead is “the dictatorship of the majority.”
A second way to achieve democracy, and this is what I thought about 40 years ago, would be to have an educated society where the competition would be different: not between a right-wing and a left-wing party, nor between 6–7 parties spread across the entire spectrum (like it used to be the case in France), but between at least 3 center parties (center-left, center, center-right). It’s like trying to keep your lane, without having a clear image of the road, but avoiding the ditches nonetheless.
This way, even if a party would govern its own way, the errors can’t possibly be severe. The next elections could adjust the course if another party is elected, but the important thing is that the debate would be on adjustments, not on radical changes. No communism. No libertarianism. A society for all, poor and rich, disabled and greedy, but in a continuous quest for adjustments. I was a kid, right?
Meanwhile, I decided I don’t trust party-based democracy. No party can represent me. I’m sick of parties (having lived my first 19 years in a country ruled by a Communist Party made me allergic to parties). Once in a parliament, any elected MP would rather follow “the Party line” than to follow his or her conscience. That much is obvious.
A couple of years ago, I checked with Encyclopaedia Britannica and Encyclopædia Universalis, and I got the confirmation that the concept of a political party appeared in 1830-1860. Prior to that, people were voting… people. OK, few people had the right to vote, and even fewer could be candidates. And those politicians were likely to be part of a Masonic lodge or of a coterie of some kind. Still, people voted for citizen X because they trusted the citizen X, and they hoped he would do what he declared he wanted to do. One can trust an individual to represent them. A party? Not so much.
Unfortunately, direct democracy “in the Agora” is not feasible today. Even referendums are considered harmful by modern scholars because “uneducated people can easily be manipulated.” (The Italian Constitution specifically forbids at Art. 75 the popular referendums on tax and budget laws, on amnesty and pardon laws, and on the ratification of international treaties.) OK, fine, but then why allow people to vote at 16 instead of 18, when they cannot drink alcohol unless they’re 21?
Even the progression from censitary suffrage to equal suffrage meant that poor, uneducated people could vote despite not having any understanding of how the economy works. Today, even middle-class people are increasingly uneducated, if not bat stupid, so I’d rather introduce an examination for a “voter’s license,” like you do with a driver’s license. Am I fascist to think this way? I’m just sick of the ever-increasing stupidity.
■ I just forgot whatever else I wanted to further comment on. Starting from People’s Republic of China, I’ve gone off my rocker.
■ Oh, about Latin America and mental sanity. I suppose an important factor is the relative “naturalidad” (apparently, “naturaleza” doesn’t convey the meaning I wanted; I was thinking of the Italian “naturalezza” which has the same meaning as the Romanian “naturalețe”) of life. By this, I mean that in Latin America, like in Africa, you can still find the old-style community spirit, neighborly bond, and social cohesion that used to characterize villages and small communities. Nowadays, it’s difficult to find any community spirit in Europe. In Sicily, maybe, if you ignore Cosa Nostra?
■ On agreeing and disagreeing. I might change my stances when presented with new life experiences. It’s happened before. But I’m also trying to be a little more pragmatic than I used to be. Besides, “I’m too old for this shit.”
■ Fun fact: Passport holders from the countries mentioned in the following list do not require a visa to travel to Mexico as non-lucrative visitors (tourists, business visitors, in transit, for medical treatments) for up to 180 days: Argentina, Andorra, Australia, Austria, Barbados, Belgium, Belize, Bermuda (UK), Bolivia, Bulgaria, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Croatia, Curaçao (The Netherlands), Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, French Polynesia, Germany, Greece, Guadalupe (France), Guam, Hong Kong, Hungary, Iceland, Irlanda, Israel, Italy, Jamaica, Japan, Korea, Latvia, Lichenstein, Lithuania, Luxemburg, Macao, Malaysia, Malta, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Monaco, The Netherland Antilles, New Zealand, Norway, Palau, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Poland, Portugal, Puerto Rico, Romania, San Marino, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Trinidad and Tobago, The Bahamas, The Netherlands, The United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States, Virgin Islands (USA), Uruguay.
Strange thing, citizens from the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua need a visa. (Venezuela too, but that’s no wonder. Also, Cuba.)
First, very amazed you are familiar with Ms. Ang and her work!! You are truly broad in knowledge!
But why claim China’s “imperialistic ambitions”? The only ones I can count is the little skirmishes with India that look more like a choreographic dance than a conflict and the seven-dotted line that, telling you the truth, is contested by several countries but that the truly only ones who cares are China and the US… and, as you may imagine, the US should not be there pushing poor Filipinos into an island that even the Spanish did not cared to claim when we mapped everything there (nor did China to be honest). That is not “imperialism” in my book by China, Philippines, Taiwan or Vietnam; however, the US, no having any border in those lands… well is the definition of imperialism.
Xi could indeed make reforms but with the ample support he is having with Chinese… why risk it? He just does a few shows here and there for reducing corruption and he pass the check mark! With 5% GDP growth still great.
I am still on the fence on the “ever-increasing stupidity”. It certainly seems that way everywhere I see, even in large corporations that supposed to have plenty of layers of filters and checks and balances. Maybe it is just that the masses used to be quieter but social media (and algorithms) has allowed and even foment voices than in the past would simple will be silenced by simply restricted access to print. But, if such is the case, should we restrict access or simply, like you mention, a voter’s license. Either way, I am highly unwilling… and, with your philosophy in life, should be too.
On the “life experiences”, I think we both have the same inquisitive mind; but you, from a communist childhood ending up in France and Germany; and me, from a fascist childhood ending up in the Philippines and the US we have different methodologies to achieve the same vision.
Nah, I never went to France (Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on my way to Atlanta doesn’t count).
The public support for Xi is diminishing. There is a crisis in China. The PRC’s economy also relied on ever-increasing exports. It did not overheat; it deflated. Even some middle-class people got unemployed; on the other hand, rural China doesn’t see any prosperity, so the fired factory workers had nothing to return to. Of course, I didn’t read about these realities in South China Morning Post, and even less in Global Times.
China simply ignored the 2016 ruling by the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) in The Hague (the South China Sea Arbitration), on a claim initiated by the Philippines in 2013. The court rejected China’s claims to historic rights within its “nine-dash line” in the South China Sea. In the context of the South China Sea dispute, the PCA’s jurisdiction was based on the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), to which both China and the Philippines are signatories. Obviously, the court lacks enforcement mechanisms.
Otherwise, PRC has contentious territorial disputes not only with the Philippines, but also with Vietnam, Malaysia, and Brunei. Not to mention the Senkaku/Diaoyu/Tiaoyutai Islands.
Once you are powerful, you become ineluctably imperialist, especially as you challenge a bipolar world.
Oh, and the US is there because of Japan. Or at least, Japan needs them, as China is teasing it. Funny thing, in WWII the US and Filipino forces fought together against the Japanese. I forgot, South Korea also needs the US presence. The DPRK is really, really crazy.
Of course, I didn’t forget how the US “liberates” people: they “forgot” to withdraw from Cuba after the 1898 Spanish-American War. When they did, they forced the Platt Amendment into the Cuban constitution. So the “independent” 1902-1959 Cuba was a joke.
Strange thing, if you ask people in Vietnam, they’re now pro-US and anti-France, whereas it was the US that killed and maimed the most of them.
Don’t know where you get the data on “support for Xi is diminishing” or “crisis in China”. There is not the 9% growth, but 5% growth over an already good position (unlike India) I am sure is viewed positively inside, and with tons of envy outside. And no, I know China is to be trusted as much as the US with these data.
On the much publicized 2016’s Permanent Court of Arbitration’ruling, please note that this court is no “international law” per se (like ICJ’s rulings are). It, instead, deals with maritime law disputes, not territorial claims. After all my readings, for me it is just inconclusive the disputes. If it up to me, it should be a open area, but as the world has always operated, it will end up with the closest strong contender taking it; now China could though a bone in exchange to the other contenders (perhaps no Taiwan and PH since they will through it back).
Japan I think has a paranoia on China (like Poland of Germany?!). However, unlike Poland, I don’t think is based on recent past, nor present reality. Japan should be taking a Finland approach as in the 50s, and declare itself neutral (yet strong enough to sting China if need be). Now, China sees Japan (and Taiwan) as spearheads of the US at command, that is why of the harsh language from mainland.
Philippines’s is a bit complex… As a Spaniard I was happy they got rid of Japan, but the cost of it was US completely obliterating Muros, the heart of Manila and Philippines, where all the intellectuals and press (overwhelmingly written in Spanish till then) was located that the US was fast to substitute with American ones. That Franco remained in power did not help either since it was sold to Filipinos as an allied with Japan (that he was not).
I don’t know Vietnam at all but, from here, I don’t see evidence of people feelings of being pro-US, I think it matches their government’s actions; just pragmatical with respect China and US.
But here we go back to your main argument, I also wish I was born in a different continent. But, of course, I also remember that as a teen, and for a decade or so, my dream was to be Norwegian or Icelandic. Then, I went to work in Sweden and Norway and realized people are the very same everywhere, Norway or Algerian, just different circumstances make us look different and we try to sell fallacies.
From all the good places. Go again to China. Get the grip of what’s happening there in 2024.
True. But even ICJ’s competence has to be accepted by both parties. OTOH, any “court” of arbitration, as it’s the case for those who deal with commercial disputes, is not a true court of law, but such rulings are generally accepted. I’m not sure what can happen to a country that doesn’t observe the ruling of, say, the “International Court of Arbitration of the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes” (Romania recently won a case in this court). Getting kicked off the WTO, at the very worst? But the PCA is for gentlemen. Obviously, not for PRC.
Poland only has a paranoia on Russia, and it’s now friends with Germany.
Pew Research Center: “About three-quarters of Vietnamese (76%) expressed a favorable opinion of the U.S. in a 2014 Pew Research Center survey. More highly educated people (89%) gave the U.S. especially high marks. Young people ages 18-29 were particularly affirmative (89%), but the U.S. is seen positively even by those who are old enough to have lived through the Vietnam War. Among those ages 50 and older, more than six-in-ten rated the U.S. favorably.”
Expats in Vietnam, and not just Americans, could confirm this view.
Oh, my. Geez.
Is there a place where you didn’t live for a while, bar Russia and the DPRK? (And Vietnam. And Japan, most likely.)
Ha ha… sarcasm?! I should not say “lived” in most places I stayed. For more than a year, only Philippines, Canada and the US. The rest for months or even less, never a year… my previous job took me to almost 30 countries, some for a few for weeks, other for months. Besides that, I was an avid Interail traveler (early 90s that instead o going mostly to Amsterdam or Oslo did Zagreb and Belgrade and everything in between in the middle of the war(s)) and before that, international hitchhiking (late 80s, then, mostly Central Europe).
Poland changed a lot… not the Poland I knew back in 2008-9… Berlin, not Moscow, was in their constant radar! I bet, in not time, sentiment can change back.
I used to read FP and was a subscriber of The Economist for years… stopped in 2012, I bet there is some content worth saving but, come on… it is mostly… I’ll check those links provided tonight nonetheless.
Foreign Policy is not unbiased, but I couldn’t find right now what I was looking for. Why Is Xi Not Fixing China’s Economy?
Eurasia Review is much more balanced, usually, on both Russia and China. China’s Economic Conundrum Under Xi Jinping – Analysis (also on East Asia Forum) is an extremely mild criticism.
Asia Society (these guys): China 2024: What to Watch (a long report). Tiny tidbits:
I very much preferred Jiang Zemin to Xi Jinping. Here’s a funny episode from 2000 (if you know Mandarin, you can watch it at a slightly better quality).
Speaking of Xi, let’s not forget how Hu Jintao was kicked out of the 20th Party Congress (Wikipedia, YouTube).
Prior to that, on August 10, 2015, People’s Daily published an article regarded as Xi’s ultimatum to Jiang Zemin. It said that «those who have retired should not interfere with the work of those in power. Playing off the Chinese metaphor, the article said it should be considered normal for the “tea to get cold” as soon as the tea drinker leaves the tea house. In fact, many leading cadres have just done that. After their retirement, they no longer intervene in the business of their successors. However, some leaders refuse to accept the new normal and would like to “keep the tea hot” after their departure. In other words, they would like to retain “residual power” after their retirement.»
Xi is a total scumbag.
To some extent, Xi is a sort of Mao, pretty much how Putin is a sort of Stalin.
Here’s the most sensible obituary of a political figure I’ve ever read: Jiang Zemin, Leader Who Guided China Into Global Market, Dies at 96 (barrier-free). Xi will be remembered as an asshole.
And here’s an example of how Xi’s China cannot be trusted to act in good faith. German warships ignored China’s complaints and sailed through the Taiwan Strait for the first time in over 2 decades:
Well, China is eating shit. Under the provisions of the UNCLOS, beyond the territorial sea, which extends up to 12 nautical miles from its coastline, follow 200 nautical miles of Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ). The Taiwan Strait is about 180 kilometers (around 97 nautical miles) wide at its narrowest point, so most of it is China’s EEZ mixed with Taiwan’s EEZ (which is not recognized by China). But even if Taiwan were part of China, “International waters are international waters,” because the EEZ is international waters. This means that even in an EEZ, foreign military vessels are legally allowed to transit without requiring prior permission from the coastal state, as long as they respect the general principles of peaceful use. Furthermore, the Taiwan Strait also falls under the “transit passage” regime in UNCLOS, and “transit passage” is different from “innocent passage” (which applies in territorial seas, i.e. in those 12 nautical miles), in that it specifically allows vessels, including military ones, to navigate through the strait without stopping or engaging in non-peaceful activities, and without interference from the coastal state(s). Taiwan’s status has nothing to do with anything under UNCLOS. But we already knew that China doesn’t give a shit on UNCLOS, despite being a signatory.
I forgot to mention the traditional conflict between “the Shanghai gang” and “the Beijing gang.” Jiang Zemin was from the “Shanghai gang,” more economically liberal and focused on reforms and modernization, especially in urban and coastal areas in eastern China: Shanghai, Guangdong (Shenzhen, Guangzhou), Zhejiang (Hangzhou), Jiangsu (Nanjing), Fujian (Xiamen, Fuzhou). This approach was far from perfect, as the rural areas remained underdeveloped. Hu Jintao was from the faction called “the Beijing gang,” therefore much more conservative. In theory, their advocating of a “harmonious society,” which included the aim of reducing regional inequality through economic development in the poorer western and rural regions of China, was more sensible. Unfortunately, anti-liberal measures at a political level eventually led to a more coercive society. On the other hand, Xi Jinping is from “the Princeling faction”: the children of prominent CCP officials and “revolutionary heroes.” Regardless of his short career in Shanghai, he’s not representative of that gang. Xi aimed to assert greater personal control over the Party and the state, and he’s constantly consolidating his power to a level unprecedented after Mao.
I don’t remember in which detective crime series I’ve read about these “gangs.” I only recall the “Inspector O” series by James Church (not the real name), which dealt with the DPRK, but I can’t remember what I read that had the action taking place in China.
EDIT: Could it have been Qiu Xiaolong’s Inspector Chen Cao series? Most likely.
FFS, I forgot about the Belt and Road Initiative (One Belt, One Road) aka the New Silk Road, which consists of so many projects!
Outside Asia/Eurasia, especially the Forum on China–Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) is worth mentioning. Not long ago, there was the 2024 Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation in Beijing. Take a look at the slides under Infographics; these are some achievements!
At the opening ceremony, all African guests expressed their gratitude (in French or English), and even António Guterres delivered a speech!
Africa is China’s territory. Imperialism and neocolonialism don’t need to be manu militari.
NOTE: All comments are ALWAYS moderated. House rules.
I hope I’ve eventually restored the proper contents. What with the various splits, I got groggy.
I have no problem with moderation… is that this time with larger posts, I don’t get feedback of them being uploaded. Short ones do give me feed back just fine. If you have set a limit of characters or so, just list them so we know “the rules”.
That must be a bug somewhere in WordPress. Normally, it should have told you that your comment is held in moderation, and the comment should have been visible to you. But WP is constantly updating itself, the plugins too; who can still check for bugs?
You did… thanks! So I see all went through, it is just for us the longer replies does not give us feedback. From now on, I will just assume it goes through fine regardless of feedback or lack thereof.
Sorry for all the posts!
This is how submitted comments should look like:
On rare occasions, they end up in Spam. On even rarer occasions, they might end up in Trash. Yours were just waiting for moderation, but I cannot tell what was visible from your side.
With larger comments than a couple of paragraphs, after pressing “Post Comment”, it just vanished and I could not see the “your comment is awaiting moderation” nor my comment at all. Previous days it displayed both just fine, as it today with smaller comments. Don’t worry about it; I’ll just assume it is just fine. I will check the address bar too… I failed to check it when the lack of feedback occurred.
EU Demokratur 2.0: Breton quits as EU Commissioner, blames von der Leyen’s ‘questionable governance’:
May I remind you that Ursula the Great doesn’t accept criticism? Back in March: Macron furious after French commissioner blasts von der Leyen:
From the same Politico report:
I so much love the EU Demokratur!
Speaking of the automotive industry (go to the section), here’s Carlos Tavares being a cocksucker: Stellantis Opposes Any Delay in EU Rules on Vehicle Emissions:
Why, of course. When Fiat 500e didn’t sell well, Tavares brought to Europe the Chinese Leapmotor EVs!
Carlos “Judas” Tavares.
The WSJ: What Scared Ford’s CEO in China (barrier-free). Business Insider has a plain-language summary: Ford’s CEO and CFO took a drive in a Chinese EV. What they said about it reveals a lot about the state of the US auto industry.
Mmh… joint venture with the Devil? Oh, just like Stellantis did! And the Devil always wins.
Every single day, I find further proofs that Europe is corrupt. Poland’s Intel plant gets EU green light for $1.9 bln in state support:
If the European Chips Act were aimed at subsidizing European companies, I’d have understood that. Europe used to be a major semiconductor player decades ago. But to subsidize American companies to build factories in Europe, this is ludicrous!
They could have offered financial incentives in the form of tax cuts, for instance. This would have been acceptable. They could have aimed for participation in a joint venture, the way China is doing. But no, they just give “gifts” or “alms” to such companies without any participation, because “unlike China, we’re a liberal free market society!” Fuck you. We’re anything but what you say we are.
I asked ChatGPT how can it be “normal” to do that in Europe, compared to what they do in China? ChatGPT insisted on defending the EU’s approach, which I found disgusting. Here’s the chat.
This comment on The Reg isn’t quite wise, but I fully understand the frustration:
UPDATE: This is grotesque. AFP (1, 2): Intel delays Germany, Poland chip factories for two years.
Shitheads.
The Economist, Sept. 12, 2024: Intel is on life support. Can anything save it? (barrier-free)
Interlude on Pat Gelsinger’s earnings from Intel.
In 2021, he earned 1,711 times more than average company worker: $178.6 million, of which stock awards were nearly 79% of his total compensation. “Compared to Gelsinger, former CEO Bob Swan had earned 217 times more than the average Intel employee in 2020.” Gelsinger’s earnings for 2021 were “about 698% higher than Swan’s 2020 pay.” His base salary was a mere 1.1 million, but he also received a “cash hiring bonus of $1.75 million.” Add to this $140.4 million in stock awards, and $29.1 million in stock option awards.
Let’s drop the stocks and only consider non-equity compensation:
2021: $5.1 million
2022: $11.61 million
2023: $16.86 million
Nominally, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger’s salary fell in 2023, but his total compensation didn’t. Capitalism, baby! “From March through September, Gelsinger’s base annual salary of $1.25 million was cut 25% … [and] Intel’s 2022 performance had limited Gelsinger to a cash bonus of just under $1 million a year ago, far under a $3.4 million target. … With his base salary lower in 2023 due to the austerity measures, Gelsinger’s bonus target was also lower in 2023, just a bit more $2.9 million. He earned almost all of it.” It’s funny when they “endure” cuts themselves, only to have earned more, all things considered. Attan austerity! Take this: “We do not consider these additional security measures to be a personal benefit for our CEO, but rather appropriate expenses for the benefit of Intel that arise out of our CEO’s employment responsibilities and that are necessary to his job performance as well as his safety,” Intel said.
In contrast, AMD’s CEO Lisa Su received $30.35 million in total compensation in 2023 ($30.22 million in 2022), representing a CEO-to-median worker pay ratio of 238-to-1. That includes “a base salary of $1.2 million and a performance bonus of more than $1.4 million. The bulk of her package was $21.8 million in stock awards.”
It’s not clear to me: are we to compare Su’s $30.35 million to Gelsinger’s $16.86 million, or to his $178.6 million? Su’s figure also includes the stock awards she received, so my take is that, while her salary is double than Gelsinger’s, overall the bastard earned much more! (If even the business websites keep comparing apples to oranges…)
Back to the Economist:
For what it’s worth, I’m not buying into the current AI bubble. Sure, there are trillions to be made. Or spent by the mentally retarded. But why can’t a company focus on consumer devices? I only care about laptops and desktops, then mobile devices. Screw the data centers. Split the company in two: Intel for people, and Intel for the Cloud.
Fabless means to put all the eggs in the same basket, like what AMD is doing with TSMC. That’s a single point of failure, which is dumb when that point of failure is in Taiwan.
But it’s even worse.
Broadcom is shit. But indeed, this is almost what I said: AI chips are not Intel’s territory! What I need is a low-TDP CPU that performs better while being cooler! Who’s going to make it for me, when all these greedy CEOs aim for the moon?
I almost wish China invaded Tawian. I wish we realized that this never ending chase for “more!” and “faster!” is insane. Computers should be usable and used by most people and companies for 5–8 years, not 2–3 years. High margins shouldn’t be the rule. So maybe a huge crisis would teach us just that. In the process, I can only hope that the absurd AI race will end. It takes too much energy anyway, in times when we pretend we aim to be “green.” The fuck we are!
I would also have multiple orgasms if Nvidia died.
Perfidious Albion is worse than China! Wikipedia:
So, this form of sentencing has been repelled, but people remain jailed!
The Independent: Teenager jailed for 18 months after McDonald’s fight still in prison 18 years later under indefinite jail term:
When even the “architect” of such an abomination says that everything is wrong, how can’t this be fixed?
I tried to make ChatGPT understand that Christine Lagarde is a fraud, and I failed. Here’s the full chat.
My anger was triggered by her chatting with Jon Stewart: Christine Lagarde – Stabilizing Inflation & Regulating AI for the Global Economy | The Daily Show
Selected comments on YT:
She would make a great Stalin; people love her:
Yeah, but what she doesn’t have is a degree in finance.
My comment on FB:
This could be useful to Europeans, too! A boomer who couldn’t afford retirement in the US moved to Ecuador and said she’s living an ‘upscale life on a modest budget’